These are the 10 names I am backing for the week of October 12, 2026, and below each one I show my work: the momentum, the technicals, the sentiment, the fundamentals, and the macro I am leaning on. I do not ask you to take the picks on faith — I ask you to read the evidence and disagree if you can. The pillar weights and a few model internals stay redacted because they are the edge; everything that can be shown, is.
Macro environment
Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 15.4 — barely 0.97% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.47, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 3.15 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +2.3%, the trend I am actually trading against.
Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:
$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$
Source: fred · as of 2026-10-09
How I make the call
I score every candidate from 0–100 on several independent pillars,
then collapse them into one composite. The weighting is the part I keep back,
but the structure is simple:
$$\text{Composite}(x) \;=\; \sum_i w_i \, S_i(x)$$
where \(S_i\) is a pillar score and \(w_i\) its weight. The exact pillar
weights are mine to keep, so they are withheld; what I will tell you is
that a neutral-pillar guard drops any pillar sitting at 50 (no signal) and
renormalises the rest, so a silent factor never dilutes a loud one.
For the expected weekly return I do not trust a raw historical average at a
given score — small samples lie. I shrink it toward a prior, blending the
realised returns of past names that scored nearby with that prior in proportion
to how much evidence I actually have:
$$\hat{r}(s) \;=\; \frac{n\,\bar r_{\text{near}} + k\,\pi(s)}{n + k}$$
Here \(k\) (the shrinkage strength) and the prior \(\pi\) take proprietary
values , and they are exactly what I re-estimate as new weeks land —
this is where the framework learns. The standard indicator formulas below I
show in full, because none of that is the edge.
Indicator formula reference
RSI: $$\mathrm{RSI}_{14}=100-\frac{100}{1+RS},\quad RS=\frac{\overline{\text{gain}}_{14}}{\overline{\text{loss}}_{14}}$$
MACD: $$\mathrm{MACD}=\mathrm{EMA}_{12}-\mathrm{EMA}_{26},\quad \text{signal}=\mathrm{EMA}_9(\mathrm{MACD})$$
ATR: $$\mathrm{ATR}_{14}=\tfrac{1}{14}\sum TR,\quad TR=\max\big(H-L,\,|H-C_{-1}|,\,|L-C_{-1}|\big)$$
Bollinger: $$\mathrm{BB}=\mathrm{SMA}_{20}\pm 2\,\sigma_{20}$$
Cross-sectional z: $$z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}$$
The picks
#1 VST
VST
Utilities
Composite 76.8 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 48.1 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 61.2 | |
| Technical | 78.4 | |
| Fundamental | 61.2 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 76.8 | — |
| Universe percentile | 98 | |
Technicals (2026-10-09)
| RSI(14) | 64.4 |
ADX(14) | 18.7 |
| MACD | 3.779 |
Signal | 1.064 |
| MACD hist | 2.715 |
ATR(14) | 6.80 |
| SMA 20 | 144.46 |
SMA 50 | 143.90 |
| SMA 200 | 154.74 |
Vol ratio | 1.18 |
| Boll upper | 161.85 |
Boll lower | 127.06 |
| CCI(20) | 160.8 |
MFI(14) | 49.7 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | 57.4 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 10.72 |
P/S | 3.08 |
| ROE | 41.5 |
ROA | 5.4 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 18.6 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | -4.9 |
VST selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 76.8/100
#2 LITE
LITE
Communications
Composite 74.3 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 58.7 | |
| Catalyst | 75.2 | |
| Sentiment | 61.7 | |
| Technical | 79.0 | |
| Fundamental | 55.1 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 74.3 | — |
| Universe percentile | 95 | |
Technicals
No indicators on file yet.
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 14.26 |
P/S | 33.16 |
| ROE | -300.1 |
ROA | -116.8 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 83.2 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
LITE selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 74.3/100
#3 FIGS
FIGS
Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
Composite 70.1 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 58.0 | |
| Catalyst | 80.0 | |
| Sentiment | 66.1 | |
| Technical | 79.5 | |
| Fundamental | 56.9 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 70.1 | — |
| Universe percentile | 92 | |
Technicals (2026-10-09)
| RSI(14) | 67.6 |
ADX(14) | 22.1 |
| MACD | 0.405 |
Signal | 0.235 |
| MACD hist | 0.170 |
ATR(14) | 0.71 |
| SMA 20 | 13.60 |
SMA 50 | 13.03 |
| SMA 200 | 12.73 |
Vol ratio | 1.49 |
| Boll upper | 15.24 |
Boll lower | 11.95 |
| CCI(20) | 222.1 |
MFI(14) | 87.5 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | 65.1 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 4.27 |
P/S | 3.53 |
| ROE | 14.4 |
ROA | 10.9 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 24.7 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 686.6 |
FIGS selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 70.1/100
#4 VIA
VIA
Technology
Composite 70.0 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 48.0 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 56.8 | |
| Technical | 70.4 | |
| Fundamental | 58.9 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 70.0 | — |
| Universe percentile | 88 | |
Technicals (2026-10-09)
| RSI(14) | 70.4 |
ADX(14) | 35.1 |
| MACD | 1.329 |
Signal | 1.205 |
| MACD hist | 0.124 |
ATR(14) | 1.19 |
| SMA 20 | 29.17 |
SMA 50 | 27.01 |
| SMA 200 | 20.55 |
Vol ratio | 0.70 |
| Boll upper | 32.41 |
Boll lower | 25.93 |
| CCI(20) | 147.5 |
MFI(14) | 66.6 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | n/a |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | -0.2 |
ROA | -0.1 |
| Net margin | -0.2 |
Rev growth | 0.3 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 0.6 |
VIA selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 70.0/100
#5 SECZ
SECZ
Financial Services
Composite 72.7 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 63.4 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 69.4 | |
| Technical | 55.9 | |
| Fundamental | 51.7 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 72.7 | — |
| Universe percentile | 85 | |
Technicals (2026-10-09)
| RSI(14) | 58.6 |
ADX(14) | 35.1 |
| MACD | 1.146 |
Signal | 1.461 |
| MACD hist | -0.316 |
ATR(14) | 1.38 |
| SMA 20 | 12.65 |
SMA 50 | 9.19 |
| SMA 200 | 10.64 |
Vol ratio | 1.13 |
| Boll upper | 18.06 |
Boll lower | 7.25 |
| CCI(20) | 27.8 |
MFI(14) | 61.1 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | 128933.2 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | n/a |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | 1.0 |
ROA | 1.0 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | n/a |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
SECZ selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.7/100
#6 SEI
SEI
Energy
Composite 72.0 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 47.1 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 64.0 | |
| Technical | 53.6 | |
| Fundamental | 65.6 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 72.0 | — |
| Universe percentile | 82 | |
Technicals
No indicators on file yet.
Fundamentals
| P/E | 199.1 |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 5.58 |
P/S | 9.65 |
| ROE | 7.8 |
ROA | 2.0 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 70.5 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | 27.3 |
SEI selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.0/100
#7 GME
GME
Retail
Composite 53.6 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 49.0 | |
| Catalyst | 75.0 | |
| Sentiment | 65.8 | |
| Technical | 67.7 | |
| Fundamental | 67.8 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 53.6 | — |
| Universe percentile | 78 | |
Technicals (2026-10-09)
| RSI(14) | 72.5 |
ADX(14) | 52.9 |
| MACD | 1.337 |
Signal | 1.237 |
| MACD hist | 0.100 |
ATR(14) | 0.96 |
| SMA 20 | 23.88 |
SMA 50 | 20.88 |
| SMA 200 | 22.34 |
Vol ratio | 1.70 |
| Boll upper | 26.49 |
Boll lower | 21.26 |
| CCI(20) | 151.7 |
MFI(14) | 72.9 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | n/a |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | 0.1 |
ROA | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 0.1 |
Rev growth | -0.1 |
| Debt/Equity | 0.00 |
EPS growth | 1.3 |
GME selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 53.6/100
#8 ZS
ZS
Technology
Composite 66.1 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 43.2 | |
| Catalyst | 75.0 | |
| Sentiment | 63.6 | |
| Technical | 81.5 | |
| Fundamental | 37.3 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 66.1 | — |
| Universe percentile | 75 | |
Technicals (2026-10-08)
| RSI(14) | 66.0 |
ADX(14) | 21.0 |
| MACD | 8.486 |
Signal | 7.929 |
| MACD hist | 0.557 |
ATR(14) | 8.83 |
| SMA 20 | 200.66 |
SMA 50 | 183.07 |
| SMA 200 | 166.56 |
Vol ratio | 1.14 |
| Boll upper | 223.94 |
Boll lower | 177.38 |
| CCI(20) | 131.2 |
MFI(14) | 74.7 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 9.41 |
P/S | 9.60 |
| ROE | -2.8 |
ROA | -0.9 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 25.4 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
ZS selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 66.1/100
#9 MANE
MANE
Pharmaceuticals
Composite 60.9 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 56.0 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 62.9 | |
| Technical | 80.0 | |
| Fundamental | 45.7 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 60.9 | — |
| Universe percentile | 72 | |
Technicals (2026-10-09)
| RSI(14) | 67.1 |
ADX(14) | 25.6 |
| MACD | 4.332 |
Signal | 3.268 |
| MACD hist | 1.064 |
ATR(14) | 7.20 |
| SMA 20 | 114.32 |
SMA 50 | 108.37 |
| SMA 200 | n/a |
Vol ratio | 1.46 |
| Boll upper | 128.81 |
Boll lower | 99.82 |
| CCI(20) | 190.3 |
MFI(14) | 66.3 |
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 6.31 |
P/S | n/a |
| ROE | -35.5 |
ROA | -34.6 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | n/a |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
MANE selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.9/100
#10 XMTR
XMTR
Trading Companies & Distributors
Composite 69.3 / 100
Decision & pillar scores
| Pillar | Score | Weight |
| Momentum | 53.7 | |
| Catalyst | 50.0 | n/a |
| Sentiment | 58.8 | |
| Technical | 67.3 | |
| Fundamental | 55.1 | |
| Smart Money | | |
| ML Ensemble | | |
| Composite | 69.3 | — |
| Universe percentile | 68 | |
Technicals
No indicators on file yet.
Fundamentals
| P/E | n/a |
PEG | n/a |
| P/B | 11.06 |
P/S | 9.17 |
| ROE | -8.7 |
ROA | -3.9 |
| Net margin | n/a |
Rev growth | 33.8 |
| Debt/Equity | n/a |
EPS growth | n/a |
XMTR selected based on:
• UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days
• SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected
• COMPOSITE SCORE: 69.3/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.