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Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

6 positions opened · week of October 12, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 6 market orders at Monday's open for the week of October 12, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
VST0.000.00006947.16GTC ATR stop76.8
LITE0.000.00007073.14GTC ATR stop74.3
FIGS0.000.00007065.34GTC ATR stop70.1
SECZ0.000.00007148.87GTC ATR stop72.7
SEI0.000.00007043.21GTC ATR stop72.0
GME0.000.00006962.15GTC ATR stop53.6

Macro environment

VIX
15.41
10Y−2Y
+0.47
HY OAS
3.15
Unemployment
n/a
SPY 20d
+2.29%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 15.4 — barely 0.97% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.47, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 3.15 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +2.3%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-10-09

Per-position evidence

#1 VST VST Utilities Composite 76.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($6947.16).

VST price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum48.1
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment61.2
Technical78.4
Fundamental61.2
Smart Money
ML Ensemble
Composite76.8—
Universe percentile98

Technicals (2026-10-09)

RSI(14)64.4 ADX(14)18.7
MACD3.779 Signal1.064
MACD hist2.715 ATR(14)6.80
SMA 20144.46 SMA 50143.90
SMA 200154.74 Vol ratio1.18
Boll upper161.85 Boll lower127.06
CCI(20)160.8 MFI(14)49.7

Fundamentals

P/E57.4 PEGn/a
P/B10.72 P/S3.08
ROE41.5 ROA5.4
Net marginn/a Rev growth18.6
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-4.9
VST selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected • COMPOSITE SCORE: 76.8/100
#2 LITE LITE Communications Composite 74.3 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7073.14).

LITE price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.7
Catalyst75.2
Sentiment61.7
Technical79.0
Fundamental55.1
Smart Money
ML Ensemble
Composite74.3—
Universe percentile95

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

LITE selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected • COMPOSITE SCORE: 74.3/100
#3 FIGS FIGS Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods Composite 70.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7065.34).

FIGS price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.0
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment66.1
Technical79.5
Fundamental56.9
Smart Money
ML Ensemble
Composite70.1—
Universe percentile92

Technicals (2026-10-09)

RSI(14)67.6 ADX(14)22.1
MACD0.405 Signal0.235
MACD hist0.170 ATR(14)0.71
SMA 2013.60 SMA 5013.03
SMA 20012.73 Vol ratio1.49
Boll upper15.24 Boll lower11.95
CCI(20)222.1 MFI(14)87.5

Fundamentals

P/E65.1 PEGn/a
P/B4.27 P/S3.53
ROE14.4 ROA10.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth24.7
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth686.6
FIGS selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected • COMPOSITE SCORE: 70.1/100
#5 SECZ SECZ Financial Services Composite 72.7 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7148.87).

SECZ price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum63.4
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment69.4
Technical55.9
Fundamental51.7
Smart Money
ML Ensemble
Composite72.7—
Universe percentile85

Technicals (2026-10-09)

RSI(14)58.6 ADX(14)35.1
MACD1.146 Signal1.461
MACD hist-0.316 ATR(14)1.38
SMA 2012.65 SMA 509.19
SMA 20010.64 Vol ratio1.13
Boll upper18.06 Boll lower7.25
CCI(20)27.8 MFI(14)61.1
SECZ selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected • COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.7/100
#6 SEI SEI Energy Composite 72.0 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7043.21).

SEI price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum47.1
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment64.0
Technical53.6
Fundamental65.6
Smart Money
ML Ensemble
Composite72.0—
Universe percentile82

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E199.1 PEGn/a
P/B5.58 P/S9.65
ROE7.8 ROA2.0
Net marginn/a Rev growth70.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth27.3
SEI selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected • COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.0/100
#7 GME GME Retail Composite 53.6 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($6962.15).

GME price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum49.0
Catalyst75.0
Sentiment65.8
Technical67.7
Fundamental67.8
Smart Money
ML Ensemble
Composite53.6—
Universe percentile78

Technicals (2026-10-09)

RSI(14)72.5 ADX(14)52.9
MACD1.337 Signal1.237
MACD hist0.100 ATR(14)0.96
SMA 2023.88 SMA 5020.88
SMA 20022.34 Vol ratio1.70
Boll upper26.49 Boll lower21.26
CCI(20)151.7 MFI(14)72.9

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.1 ROA0.0
Net margin0.1 Rev growth-0.1
Debt/Equity0.00 EPS growth1.3
GME selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • SMART MONEY ACTIVITY: Institutional accumulation detected • COMPOSITE SCORE: 53.6/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.