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Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

10 positions opened · week of September 28, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 10 market orders at Monday's open for the week of September 28, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
TWLO283.5925.77787310.34GTC ATR stop72.1
SEI70.12104.75217345.22GTC ATR stop60.9
XXI6.911055.69187294.83GTC ATR stop69.0
AMC3.332198.18327319.95GTC ATR stop63.0
GME23.94304.97417301.08GTC ATR stop56.8
CLS352.9120.74737321.93GTC ATR stop61.9
AMRX20.34357.76067276.85GTC ATR stop55.6
TEM85.2685.16127260.84GTC ATR stop44.1
ANET205.9735.46217304.12GTC ATR stop51.2
SMCI42.08174.93137361.11GTC ATR stop73.0

Macro environment

VIX
14.21
10Y−2Y
+0.36
HY OAS
2.80
Unemployment
4.1
SPY 20d
+0.16%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 14.2 — barely 0.90% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.36, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.80 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +0.2%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-09-27

Per-position evidence

#2 TWLO TWLO Technology Composite 72.1 / 100

Filled at 283.59 for 25.7778 shares ($7310.34).

TWLO price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.0
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment58.2
Technical83.3
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite72.1—
Universe percentile96

Technicals (2026-09-25)

RSI(14)62.5 ADX(14)28.8
MACD15.523 Signal10.380
MACD hist5.144 ATR(14)12.90
SMA 20246.67 SMA 50227.38
SMA 200172.10 Vol ratio1.92
Boll upper292.00 Boll lower201.35
CCI(20)135.0 MFI(14)70.8

Fundamentals

P/E1251.9 PEGn/a
P/B2.76 P/S8.36
ROE14.2 ROA11.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth17.8
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth5800.2
TWLO selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.1/100
#3 SEI SEI Energy Composite 60.9 / 100

Filled at 70.12 for 104.7521 shares ($7345.22).

SEI price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment72.0
Technical64.7
Fundamental63.3
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite60.9—
Universe percentile94

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

SEI selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.9/100
#4 XXI XXI Financial Services Composite 69.0 / 100

Filled at 6.91 for 1055.6918 shares ($7294.83).

XXI price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum49.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment65.1
Technical74.4
Fundamental36.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite69.0—
Universe percentile89

Technicals (2026-09-25)

RSI(14)61.5 ADX(14)26.3
MACD0.290 Signal0.202
MACD hist0.088 ATR(14)0.38
SMA 206.00 SMA 505.42
SMA 2006.89 Vol ratio0.80
Boll upper6.98 Boll lower5.03
CCI(20)98.9 MFI(14)59.5

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROEn/a ROAn/a
Net marginn/a Rev growthn/a
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
XXI selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 69.0/100
#5 AMC AMC Media Composite 63.0 / 100

Filled at 3.33 for 2198.1832 shares ($7319.95).

AMC price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum46.0
Catalyst74.0
Sentiment73.1
Technical70.3
Fundamental52.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite63.0—
Universe percentile79

Technicals (2026-09-25)

RSI(14)63.0 ADX(14)24.6
MACD0.104 Signal0.070
MACD hist0.035 ATR(14)0.16
SMA 202.66 SMA 502.58
SMA 2001.82 Vol ratio0.67
Boll upper2.99 Boll lower2.32
CCI(20)130.9 MFI(14)60.4

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B0.62 P/S0.54
ROE-11.9 ROA-7.0
Net marginn/a Rev growth6.4
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
AMC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 63.0/100
#6 GME GME Retail Composite 56.8 / 100

Filled at 23.94 for 304.9741 shares ($7301.08).

GME price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum56.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment58.8
Technical74.8
Fundamental67.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite56.8—
Universe percentile76

Technicals (2026-09-25)

RSI(14)65.1 ADX(14)46.7
MACD1.263 Signal0.876
MACD hist0.387 ATR(14)0.86
SMA 2021.13 SMA 5020.27
SMA 20022.21 Vol ratio1.52
Boll upper25.37 Boll lower16.89
CCI(20)98.0 MFI(14)81.5
GME selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 56.8/100
#7 CLS CLS Electrical Equipment Composite 61.9 / 100

Filled at 352.91 for 20.7473 shares ($7321.93).

CLS price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum56.0
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment57.5
Technical64.7
Fundamental63.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite61.9—
Universe percentile69

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E56.6 PEGn/a
P/B15.05 P/S3.80
ROE50.6 ROA14.0
Net marginn/a Rev growth47.3
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth109.1
CLS selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 61.9/100
#8 AMRX AMRX Pharmaceuticals Composite 55.6 / 100

Filled at 20.34 for 357.7606 shares ($7276.85).

AMRX price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum45.4
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment53.7
Technical62.9
Fundamental56.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite55.6—
Universe percentile61

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E87.6 PEGn/a
P/B140.74 P/S2.09
ROE174.6 ROA4.3
Net marginn/a Rev growth9.3
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth7506.4
AMRX selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 55.6/100
#9 TEM TEM Life Sciences Tools & Services Composite 44.1 / 100

Filled at 85.26 for 85.1612 shares ($7260.84).

TEM price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum65.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment61.1
Technical67.4
Fundamental37.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite44.1—
Universe percentile59

Technicals (2026-09-25)

RSI(14)75.0 ADX(14)46.1
MACD7.142 Signal5.702
MACD hist1.440 ATR(14)4.57
SMA 2069.14 SMA 5057.94
SMA 20056.54 Vol ratio1.49
Boll upper85.75 Boll lower52.52
CCI(20)135.7 MFI(14)61.8
TEM selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 44.1/100
#10 ANET ANET Communications Composite 51.2 / 100

Filled at 205.97 for 35.4621 shares ($7304.12).

ANET price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum44.0
Catalyst74.0
Sentiment65.8
Technical61.1
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite51.2—
Universe percentile49

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E74.2 PEGn/a
P/B13.34 P/S28.93
ROE30.8 ROA19.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth32.6
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth24.7
ANET selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 51.2/100
#1 SMCI SMCI Technology Composite 73.0 / 100

Filled at 42.08 for 174.9313 shares ($7361.11).

SMCI price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment69.2
Technical66.5
Fundamental63.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite73.0—
Universe percentile99

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E11.7 PEGn/a
P/B1.31 P/S0.67
ROE25.1 ROA9.3
Net marginn/a Rev growth77.8
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth94.1
SMCI selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 73.0/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.