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Weekly Selection

Weekly Selection PAPER TRADING

Why these 10 stocks · week of August 31, 2026
SUNDAY, 30 AUGUST 2026 · SECT Capital Quant Desk
By Sect Quantitative Research · SECT Capital
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

These are the 10 names I am backing for the week of August 31, 2026, and below each one I show my work: the momentum, the technicals, the sentiment, the fundamentals, and the macro I am leaning on. I do not ask you to take the picks on faith — I ask you to read the evidence and disagree if you can. The pillar weights and a few model internals stay redacted because they are the edge; everything that can be shown, is.

Macro environment

VIX
14.51
10Y−2Y
+0.39
HY OAS
2.63
Unemployment
4.1
SPY 20d
+2.96%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 14.5 — barely 0.91% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.39, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.63 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +3.0%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-08-30

How I make the call

I score every candidate from 0–100 on several independent pillars, then collapse them into one composite. The weighting is the part I keep back, but the structure is simple:

$$\text{Composite}(x) \;=\; \sum_i w_i \, S_i(x)$$

where \(S_i\) is a pillar score and \(w_i\) its weight. The exact pillar weights are mine to keep, so they are withheld; what I will tell you is that a neutral-pillar guard drops any pillar sitting at 50 (no signal) and renormalises the rest, so a silent factor never dilutes a loud one.

For the expected weekly return I do not trust a raw historical average at a given score — small samples lie. I shrink it toward a prior, blending the realised returns of past names that scored nearby with that prior in proportion to how much evidence I actually have:

$$\hat{r}(s) \;=\; \frac{n\,\bar r_{\text{near}} + k\,\pi(s)}{n + k}$$

Here \(k\) (the shrinkage strength) and the prior \(\pi\) take proprietary values , and they are exactly what I re-estimate as new weeks land — this is where the framework learns. The standard indicator formulas below I show in full, because none of that is the edge.

Indicator formula reference
RSI: $$\mathrm{RSI}_{14}=100-\frac{100}{1+RS},\quad RS=\frac{\overline{\text{gain}}_{14}}{\overline{\text{loss}}_{14}}$$
MACD: $$\mathrm{MACD}=\mathrm{EMA}_{12}-\mathrm{EMA}_{26},\quad \text{signal}=\mathrm{EMA}_9(\mathrm{MACD})$$
ATR: $$\mathrm{ATR}_{14}=\tfrac{1}{14}\sum TR,\quad TR=\max\big(H-L,\,|H-C_{-1}|,\,|L-C_{-1}|\big)$$
Bollinger: $$\mathrm{BB}=\mathrm{SMA}_{20}\pm 2\,\sigma_{20}$$
Cross-sectional z: $$z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}$$

The picks

#1 FIGS FIGS Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods Composite 74.8 / 100
FIGS price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum64.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment62.9
Technical73.8
Fundamental56.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite74.8—
Universe percentile99

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)71.1 ADX(14)44.2
MACD1.047 Signal1.006
MACD hist0.041 ATR(14)0.68
SMA 2013.92 SMA 5011.81
SMA 20012.38 Vol ratio0.84
Boll upper16.95 Boll lower10.88
CCI(20)84.6 MFI(14)65.2

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E72.0 PEGn/a
P/B4.27 P/S3.91
ROE14.4 ROA10.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth24.7
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth686.6
FIGS selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 74.8/100
#2 TWLO TWLO Technology Composite 75.8 / 100
TWLO price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.2
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment57.0
Technical72.7
Fundamental67.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite75.8—
Universe percentile96

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)59.5 ADX(14)19.0
MACD6.781 Signal6.902
MACD hist-0.121 ATR(14)10.36
SMA 20226.98 SMA 50210.89
SMA 200160.55 Vol ratio0.92
Boll upper265.35 Boll lower188.60
CCI(20)52.8 MFI(14)64.3

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.0 ROA0.0
Net margin0.0 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equity0.11 EPS growth1.3
TWLO selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 75.8/100
#3 RNW RNW Utilities Composite 67.8 / 100
RNW price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment83.6
Technical74.7
Fundamental54.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite67.8—
Universe percentile94

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E22.0 PEGn/a
P/B1.84 P/S0.02
ROE0.1 ROA0.0
Net margin0.1 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth0.2
RNW selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 67.8/100
#4 CMBT CMBT Energy Composite 64.7 / 100
CMBT price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum50.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment69.2
Technical71.9
Fundamental43.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite64.7—
Universe percentile91

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E30.0 PEGn/a
P/B1.05 P/S2.89
ROE23.3 ROA6.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth56.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-60.5
CMBT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 64.7/100
#5 SRRK SRRK Biotechnology Composite 66.0 / 100
SRRK price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum55.2
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.9
Technical65.8
Fundamental45.7
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite66.0—
Universe percentile89

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B18.30 P/S200.79
ROE-159.1 ROA-86.6
Net marginn/a Rev growthn/a
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
SRRK selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 66.0/100
#6 PTEN PTEN Energy Composite 65.3 / 100
PTEN price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum50.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment56.7
Technical55.0
Fundamental58.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite65.3—
Universe percentile86

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE-0.0 ROA-0.0
Net margin-0.0 Rev growth-0.1
Debt/Equity0.40 EPS growth0.9
PTEN selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 65.3/100
#7 PCOR PCOR Technology Composite 69.2 / 100
PCOR price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum55.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment55.0
Technical58.9
Fundamental52.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite69.2—
Universe percentile84

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)68.3 ADX(14)44.2
MACD3.542 Signal3.699
MACD hist-0.157 ATR(14)2.41
SMA 2059.75 SMA 5050.23
SMA 20057.39 Vol ratio0.37
Boll upper65.48 Boll lower54.02
CCI(20)117.8 MFI(14)60.8

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B8.96 P/S7.11
ROE-3.1 ROA-1.8
Net marginn/a Rev growth15.4
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
PCOR selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 69.2/100
#8 AVNT AVNT Chemicals Composite 59.6 / 100
AVNT price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.7
Catalyst52.3
Sentiment80.9
Technical63.8
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite59.6—
Universe percentile81

Technicals (2026-08-26)

RSI(14)64.5 ADX(14)26.9
MACD2.039 Signal1.923
MACD hist0.116 ATR(14)1.29
SMA 2041.58 SMA 5038.80
SMA 20035.89 Vol ratio0.64
Boll upper49.30 Boll lower33.87
CCI(20)61.1 MFI(14)78.0

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E51.4 PEGn/a
P/B1.20 P/S1.29
ROE6.6 ROA2.6
Net marginn/a Rev growth1.3
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth58.7
AVNT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 59.6/100
#9 EXK EXK Metals & Mining Composite 35.3 / 100
EXK price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum55.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.7
Technical77.5
Fundamental45.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite35.3—
Universe percentile51

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)58.8 ADX(14)25.3
MACD0.665 Signal0.636
MACD hist0.029 ATR(14)0.62
SMA 2010.15 SMA 508.87
SMA 2009.76 Vol ratio1.86
Boll upper12.09 Boll lower8.21
CCI(20)66.6 MFI(14)45.1

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E47.8 PEGn/a
P/B4.89 P/S6.71
ROE10.7 ROA5.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth139.9
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
EXK selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 35.3/100
#10 TRLV TRLV Pharmaceuticals Composite 39.3 / 100
TRLV price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum63.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment53.7
Technical69.9
Fundamental35.7
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite39.3—
Universe percentile44

Technicals (2026-08-21)

RSI(14)72.0 ADX(14)23.9
MACD0.350 Signal0.120
MACD hist0.230 ATR(14)0.51
SMA 209.14 SMA 509.13
SMA 200n/a Vol ratio1.91
Boll upper10.61 Boll lower7.67
CCI(20)196.7 MFI(14)80.2

Sentiment & news

No sentiment or news collected yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/S1.57
ROE-6.8 ROA-2.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth-1.4
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
TRLV selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 39.3/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.