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Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

7 positions opened · week of August 31, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 7 market orders at Monday's open for the week of August 31, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
FIGS0.000.00007698.87GTC ATR stop74.8
TWLO0.000.00007762.51GTC ATR stop75.8
RNW0.000.00007605.36GTC ATR stop67.8
CMBT0.000.00007652.10GTC ATR stop64.7
SRRK0.000.00007732.96GTC ATR stop66.0
AVNT0.000.00007691.12GTC ATR stop59.6
EXK0.000.00007657.91GTC ATR stop35.3

Macro environment

VIX
14.51
10Y−2Y
+0.39
HY OAS
2.63
Unemployment
4.1
SPY 20d
+2.96%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 14.5 — barely 0.91% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.39, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.63 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +3.0%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-08-30

Per-position evidence

#1 FIGS FIGS Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods Composite 74.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7698.87).

FIGS price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum64.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment62.9
Technical73.8
Fundamental56.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite74.8
Universe percentile99

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)71.1 ADX(14)44.2
MACD1.047 Signal1.006
MACD hist0.041 ATR(14)0.68
SMA 2013.92 SMA 5011.81
SMA 20012.38 Vol ratio0.84
Boll upper16.95 Boll lower10.88
CCI(20)84.6 MFI(14)65.2

Fundamentals

P/E72.0 PEGn/a
P/B4.27 P/S3.91
ROE14.4 ROA10.9
Net marginn/a Rev growth24.7
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth686.6
FIGS selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 74.8/100
#2 TWLO TWLO Technology Composite 75.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7762.51).

TWLO price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.2
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment57.0
Technical72.7
Fundamental67.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite75.8
Universe percentile96

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)59.5 ADX(14)19.0
MACD6.781 Signal6.902
MACD hist-0.121 ATR(14)10.36
SMA 20226.98 SMA 50210.89
SMA 200160.55 Vol ratio0.92
Boll upper265.35 Boll lower188.60
CCI(20)52.8 MFI(14)64.3

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.0 ROA0.0
Net margin0.0 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equity0.11 EPS growth1.3
TWLO selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 75.8/100
#3 RNW RNW Utilities Composite 67.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7605.36).

RNW price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment83.6
Technical74.7
Fundamental54.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite67.8
Universe percentile94

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E22.0 PEGn/a
P/B1.84 P/S0.02
ROE0.1 ROA0.0
Net margin0.1 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth0.2
RNW selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 67.8/100
#4 CMBT CMBT Energy Composite 64.7 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7652.10).

CMBT price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum50.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment69.2
Technical71.9
Fundamental43.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite64.7
Universe percentile91

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E30.0 PEGn/a
P/B1.05 P/S2.89
ROE23.3 ROA6.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth56.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-60.5
CMBT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 64.7/100
#5 SRRK SRRK Biotechnology Composite 66.0 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7732.96).

SRRK price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum55.2
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.9
Technical65.8
Fundamental45.7
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite66.0
Universe percentile89

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B18.30 P/S200.79
ROE-159.1 ROA-86.6
Net marginn/a Rev growthn/a
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
SRRK selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 66.0/100
#8 AVNT AVNT Chemicals Composite 59.6 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7691.12).

AVNT price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.7
Catalyst52.3
Sentiment80.9
Technical63.8
Fundamental65.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite59.6
Universe percentile81

Technicals (2026-08-26)

RSI(14)64.5 ADX(14)26.9
MACD2.039 Signal1.923
MACD hist0.116 ATR(14)1.29
SMA 2041.58 SMA 5038.80
SMA 20035.89 Vol ratio0.64
Boll upper49.30 Boll lower33.87
CCI(20)61.1 MFI(14)78.0

Fundamentals

P/E51.4 PEGn/a
P/B1.20 P/S1.29
ROE6.6 ROA2.6
Net marginn/a Rev growth1.3
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth58.7
AVNT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 59.6/100
#9 EXK EXK Metals & Mining Composite 35.3 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7657.91).

EXK price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum55.6
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.7
Technical77.5
Fundamental45.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite35.3
Universe percentile51

Technicals (2026-08-28)

RSI(14)58.8 ADX(14)25.3
MACD0.665 Signal0.636
MACD hist0.029 ATR(14)0.62
SMA 2010.15 SMA 508.87
SMA 2009.76 Vol ratio1.86
Boll upper12.09 Boll lower8.21
CCI(20)66.6 MFI(14)45.1

Fundamentals

P/E47.8 PEGn/a
P/B4.89 P/S6.71
ROE10.7 ROA5.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth139.9
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
EXK selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 35.3/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.