Trade Execution — Buys | SECT Capital Quant Research

Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 10 market orders at Monday's open for the week of August 17, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

Ticker	Value $	Stop	Composite
TDW	7838.87	GTC ATR stop	66.9
FRPT	7785.31	GTC ATR stop	75.9
FRSH	7920.62	GTC ATR stop	80.2
CVNA	7625.38	GTC ATR stop	73.8
ZIM	7641.71	GTC ATR stop	73.4
TOST	7637.35	GTC ATR stop	70.1
SPSC	7825.93	GTC ATR stop	67.5
SEPN	7511.24	GTC ATR stop	67.8
RELY	7789.87	GTC ATR stop	76.8
LYFT	7638.96	GTC ATR stop	62.3

Macro environment

VIX

14.63

10Y−2Y

+0.51

HY OAS

2.71

Unemployment

4.1

SPY 20d

+4.40%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 14.6 — barely 0.92% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.51, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.71 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +4.4%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}

Source: fred · as of 2026-08-16

Per-position evidence

#1 TDW TDW Energy Composite 66.9 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7838.87).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	58.8
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	67.8
Technical	62.1
Fundamental	84.3
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	66.9	—
Universe percentile	99

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Tidewater Midstream and Infrastructure Q2 Earnings Call Highlights [positive]
Tidewater Renewables Q2 Earnings Call Highlights [positive]
Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Tidewater, Raises Price Target to $91 [neutral]

Fundamentals

P/E	12.3	PEG	n/a
P/B	1.83	P/S	3.05
ROE	23.8	ROA	13.3
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	-0.9
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	78.5

TDW selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 66.9/100

#2 FRPT FRPT Food Products Composite 75.9 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7785.31).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	58.9
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	73.6
Technical	67.3
Fundamental	67.9
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	75.9	—
Universe percentile	96

Technicals (2026-08-14)

RSI(14)	71.1	ADX(14)	32.6
MACD	4.225	Signal	3.246
MACD hist	0.979	ATR(14)	3.03
SMA 20	63.76	SMA 50	58.12
SMA 200	62.03	Vol ratio	0.46
Boll upper	75.29	Boll lower	52.23
CCI(20)	117.2	MFI(14)	74.0

Sentiment & news

5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Freshpet’s Q2 Earnings Call [positive]
Freshpet (FRPT) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript [positive]
Freshpet Q2 Earnings Call Highlights [positive]

Fundamentals

P/E	25.1	PEG	n/a
P/B	2.46	P/S	3.17
ROE	16.6	ROA	11.3
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	12.8
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	449.7

FRPT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 75.9/100

#3 FRSH FRSH Technology Composite 80.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7920.62).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	54.9
Catalyst	75.0
Sentiment	62.6
Technical	60.7
Fundamental	84.3
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	80.2	—
Universe percentile	94

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	16.8	PEG	n/a
P/B	3.34	P/S	3.68
ROE	19.5	ROA	12.2
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	15.6
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	n/a

FRSH selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 80.2/100

#4 CVNA CVNA Consumer Cyclical Composite 73.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7625.38).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	48.8
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	62.4
Technical	76.6
Fundamental	72.4
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	73.8	—
Universe percentile	91

Technicals (2026-08-14)

RSI(14)	58.7	ADX(14)	19.7
MACD	0.403	Signal	-1.429
MACD hist	1.833	ATR(14)	3.96
SMA 20	67.21	SMA 50	67.17
SMA 200	269.89	Vol ratio	0.49
Boll upper	76.46	Boll lower	57.95
CCI(20)	135.8	MFI(14)	63.5

Sentiment & news

10 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Whale Activity In Today’s Session [positive]
Is Carvana (CVNA) a Clear Bargain at 13x EBITDA? [positive]
Wall Street is piling into the riskiest corners of the market: Chart of the Day [negative]

Fundamentals

P/E	n/a	PEG	n/a
P/B	n/a	P/S	n/a
ROE	0.3	ROA	0.1
Net margin	0.1	Rev growth	0.5
Debt/Equity	1.28	EPS growth	4.3

CVNA selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 73.8/100

#5 ZIM ZIM Marine Composite 73.4 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7641.71).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	57.0
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	67.7
Technical	76.7
Fundamental	53.7
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	73.4	—
Universe percentile	89

Technicals (2026-08-14)

RSI(14)	63.5	ADX(14)	17.6
MACD	0.462	Signal	0.276
MACD hist	0.186	ATR(14)	0.94
SMA 20	25.55	SMA 50	25.21
SMA 200	23.70	Vol ratio	3.45
Boll upper	27.74	Boll lower	23.36
CCI(20)	175.7	MFI(14)	75.2

Sentiment & news

Strength Seen in ZIM (ZIM): Can Its 6.1% Jump Turn into More Strength? [neutral]
Strength Seen in ZIM (ZIM): Can Its 6.1% Jump Turn into More Strength? [positive]
Avoiding Lag: Real-Time Signals in (ZIM) Movement [positive]

Fundamentals

P/E	6.6	PEG	n/a
P/B	0.64	P/S	0.46
ROE	2.5	ROA	0.9
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	-29.1
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	-95.8

ZIM selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 73.4/100

#6 TOST TOST Financial Services Composite 70.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7637.35).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	50.7
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	63.8
Technical	73.7
Fundamental	65.6
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	70.1	—
Universe percentile	81

Technicals (2026-08-14)

RSI(14)	63.8	ADX(14)	31.9
MACD	1.663	Signal	1.637
MACD hist	0.026	ATR(14)	1.30
SMA 20	32.70	SMA 50	29.27
SMA 200	30.22	Vol ratio	0.71
Boll upper	37.07	Boll lower	28.32
CCI(20)	77.3	MFI(14)	61.7

Sentiment & news

Is Toast (TOST) Above Fair Value After New Partnership Wins? [positive]
Block's Square Backs The Baked Bear: Will Franchise Growth Accelerate? [positive]
Should You Stay Invested in Block Stock After Its Q2 Earnings Beat? [positive]

Fundamentals

P/E	59.8	PEG	n/a
P/B	13.40	P/S	3.33
ROE	23.8	ROA	15.7
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	23.0
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	120.8

TOST selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 70.1/100

#7 SPSC SPSC Technology Composite 67.5 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7825.93).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	63.6
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	80.8
Technical	58.8
Fundamental	50.4
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	67.5	—
Universe percentile	79

Technicals (2026-08-13)

RSI(14)	72.7	ADX(14)	32.1
MACD	4.288	Signal	3.700
MACD hist	0.588	ATR(14)	2.98
SMA 20	69.45	SMA 50	62.36
SMA 200	69.31	Vol ratio	1.67
Boll upper	81.20	Boll lower	57.69
CCI(20)	115.4	MFI(14)	81.3

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	29.3	PEG	n/a
P/B	3.45	P/S	3.64
ROE	8.1	ROA	6.8
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	9.8
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	-4.9

SPSC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 67.5/100

#8 SEPN SEPN Pharmaceuticals Composite 67.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7511.24).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	53.3
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	50.0	n/a
Technical	77.0
Fundamental	47.9
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	67.8	—
Universe percentile	76

Technicals (2026-08-14)

RSI(14)	65.5	ADX(14)	32.8
MACD	2.996	Signal	1.969
MACD hist	1.027	ATR(14)	2.42
SMA 20	37.65	SMA 50	35.67
SMA 200	28.21	Vol ratio	1.23
Boll upper	47.53	Boll lower	27.76
CCI(20)	115.1	MFI(14)	58.9

Sentiment & news

Jones Trading Maintains Buy on Septerna, Raises Price Target to $62 [neutral]

Fundamentals

P/E	n/a	PEG	n/a
P/B	3.27	P/S	45.85
ROE	-9.4	ROA	-6.6
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	n/a
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	n/a

SEPN selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 67.8/100

#9 RELY RELY Financial Services Composite 76.8 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7789.87).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	56.2
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	48.3
Technical	64.2
Fundamental	73.1
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	76.8	—
Universe percentile	71

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	73.6	PEG	n/a
P/B	3.32	P/S	3.06
ROE	12.7	ROA	8.1
Net margin	n/a	Rev growth	27.3
Debt/Equity	n/a	EPS growth	n/a

RELY selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 76.8/100

#10 LYFT LYFT Road & Rail Composite 62.3 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7638.96).

Decision & pillar scores

Pillar	Score	Weight
Momentum	54.8
Catalyst	50.0	n/a
Sentiment	54.5
Technical	75.8
Fundamental	72.4
Smart Money		n/a
ML Ensemble
Composite	62.3	—
Universe percentile	64

Technicals (2026-08-11)

RSI(14)	68.3	ADX(14)	28.3
MACD	0.616	Signal	0.427
MACD hist	0.189	ATR(14)	0.66
SMA 20	15.84	SMA 50	15.05
SMA 200	16.34	Vol ratio	0.71
Boll upper	17.77	Boll lower	13.91
CCI(20)	152.1	MFI(14)	69.0

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E	n/a	PEG	n/a
P/B	n/a	P/S	n/a
ROE	0.9	ROA	0.3
Net margin	0.5	Rev growth	0.1
Debt/Equity	0.35	EPS growth	112.5

LYFT selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 62.3/100

A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.