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Execution · Buys

Trade Execution — Buys PAPER TRADING

10 positions opened · week of August 10, 2026
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

Execution summary

I filled 10 market orders at Monday's open for the week of August 10, 2026. I show the ATR-scaled stop and the conviction I carried in; the position weightings stay proprietary.

TickerFillSharesValue $StopCompositeExp. return
PLTR0.000.00007559.76GTC ATR stop63.9
IOVA0.000.00007480.37GTC ATR stop60.3
SHOP0.000.00007525.38GTC ATR stop58.1
THC0.000.00007562.95GTC ATR stop60.0
EXLS34.641.000034.64GTC ATR stop63.1
BDC0.000.00007600.58GTC ATR stop69.9
DV0.000.00007540.72GTC ATR stop55.5
ATI231.3415.00003470.10GTC ATR stop63.5
W0.000.00007538.42GTC ATR stop62.2
SKE32.54101.00003286.54GTC ATR stop61.1

Macro environment

VIX
15.15
10Y−2Y
+0.46
HY OAS
2.71
Unemployment
4.1
SPY 20d
+2.41%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 15.2 — barely 0.95% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.46, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.71 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is +2.4%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-08-09

Per-position evidence

#1 PLTR PLTR Technology Composite 63.9 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7559.76).

PLTR price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum65.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment61.9
Technical73.8
Fundamental73.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite63.9
Universe percentile99

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)72.8 ADX(14)20.3
MACD7.202 Signal2.411
MACD hist4.791 ATR(14)8.87
SMA 20135.04 SMA 50132.60
SMA 200152.28 Vol ratio2.37
Boll upper164.13 Boll lower105.96
CCI(20)216.1 MFI(14)69.1

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.2 ROA0.1
Net margin0.4 Rev growth0.6
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth2.3
PLTR selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 63.9/100
#2 IOVA IOVA Biotechnology Composite 60.3 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7480.37).

IOVA price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum67.0
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.6
Technical81.8
Fundamental37.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite60.3
Universe percentile96

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)70.6 ADX(14)22.9
MACD0.268 Signal0.157
MACD hist0.111 ATR(14)0.51
SMA 204.83 SMA 504.40
SMA 2003.37 Vol ratio1.45
Boll upper6.07 Boll lower3.58
CCI(20)224.5 MFI(14)59.5
IOVA selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.3/100
#3 SHOP SHOP Technology Composite 58.1 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7525.38).

SHOP price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum66.2
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.1
Technical72.8
Fundamental45.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite58.1
Universe percentile94

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)71.3 ADX(14)21.8
MACD6.013 Signal3.221
MACD hist2.792 ATR(14)7.72
SMA 20126.15 SMA 50119.23
SMA 200132.63 Vol ratio1.07
Boll upper146.61 Boll lower105.69
CCI(20)216.9 MFI(14)54.3

Fundamentals

P/E158.4 PEGn/a
P/B15.55 P/S16.88
ROE15.1 ROA13.1
Net marginn/a Rev growth32.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-17.3
SHOP selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 58.1/100
#4 THC THC Health Care Composite 60.0 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7562.95).

THC price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum57.2
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment78.4
Technical68.6
Fundamental57.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite60.0
Universe percentile91

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)71.1 ADX(14)34.1
MACD18.342 Signal15.933
MACD hist2.408 ATR(14)9.67
SMA 20226.86 SMA 50199.55
SMA 200201.80 Vol ratio0.56
Boll upper287.10 Boll lower166.62
CCI(20)79.4 MFI(14)85.9

Fundamentals

P/E15.0 PEGn/a
P/B4.14 P/S0.99
ROE50.6 ROA7.4
Net marginn/a Rev growth7.4
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth66.2
THC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 60.0/100
#5 EXLS EXLS Professional Services Composite 63.1 / 100

Filled at 34.64 for 1.0000 shares ($34.64).

EXLS price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.0
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment79.9
Technical73.0
Fundamental61.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite63.1
Universe percentile89

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)68.0 ADX(14)30.7
MACD1.882 Signal1.374
MACD hist0.508 ATR(14)1.36
SMA 2030.63 SMA 5028.96
SMA 20033.83 Vol ratio1.40
Boll upper37.23 Boll lower24.03
CCI(20)94.2 MFI(14)68.6

Fundamentals

P/E21.1 PEGn/a
P/B7.38 P/S2.53
ROE28.5 ROA14.6
Net marginn/a Rev growth13.6
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth10.1
EXLS selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 63.1/100
#6 BDC BDC Electrical Equipment Composite 69.9 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7600.58).

BDC price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.5
Catalyst72.5
Sentiment84.0
Technical70.1
Fundamental71.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite69.9
Universe percentile86

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)73.4 ADX(14)30.5
MACD5.166 Signal1.885
MACD hist3.282 ATR(14)4.74
SMA 20110.94 SMA 50112.19
SMA 200118.85 Vol ratio1.43
Boll upper133.94 Boll lower87.95
CCI(20)136.8 MFI(14)84.4

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.2 ROA0.1
Net margin0.1 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equity0.89 EPS growth0.2
BDC selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 69.9/100
#7 DV DV Media Composite 55.5 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7540.72).

DV price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum65.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment61.9
Technical76.0
Fundamental40.8
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite55.5
Universe percentile84

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)69.3 ADX(14)17.0
MACD0.329 Signal0.196
MACD hist0.133 ATR(14)0.53
SMA 2011.50 SMA 5010.97
SMA 20010.61 Vol ratio7.97
Boll upper12.68 Boll lower10.31
CCI(20)267.7 MFI(14)82.6

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.0 ROA0.0
Net margin0.1 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equity0.02 EPS growth-0.1
DV selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 55.5/100
#8 ATI ATI Aerospace & Defense Composite 63.5 / 100

Filled at 231.34 for 15.0000 shares ($3470.10).

ATI price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum58.9
Catalyst80.0
Sentiment61.8
Technical63.8
Fundamental56.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite63.5
Universe percentile74

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/E76.9 PEGn/a
P/B8.78 P/S6.78
ROE24.2 ROA8.4
Net marginn/a Rev growth2.9
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth10.7
ATI selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 63.5/100
#9 W W Retail Composite 62.2 / 100

Filled at 0.00 for 0.0000 shares ($7538.42).

W price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.5
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment65.6
Technical61.7
Fundamental68.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite62.2
Universe percentile69

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/Bn/a P/Sn/a
ROE0.1 ROA-0.1
Net margin-0.0 Rev growth0.1
Debt/Equity-1.02 EPS growth0.4
W selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 62.2/100
#10 SKE SKE Metals & Mining Composite 61.1 / 100

Filled at 32.54 for 101.0000 shares ($3286.54).

SKE price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum53.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment81.7
Technical78.1
Fundamental36.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite61.1
Universe percentile64

Technicals (2026-08-07)

RSI(14)67.6 ADX(14)14.3
MACD0.800 Signal0.128
MACD hist0.672 ATR(14)1.57
SMA 2027.41 SMA 5027.66
SMA 20027.38 Vol ratio1.45
Boll upper31.23 Boll lower23.59
CCI(20)249.7 MFI(14)68.1

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B24.95 P/Sn/a
ROE-185.4 ROA-33.2
Net marginn/a Rev growthn/a
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
SKE selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 61.1/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.