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Weekly Selection

Weekly Selection PAPER TRADING

Why these 10 stocks · week of July 06, 2026
SUNDAY, 05 JULY 2026 · SECT Capital Quant Desk
By Sect Quantitative Research · SECT Capital
Redacted — proprietary method withheld. The space is kept so you can see where detail exists.

These are the 10 names I am backing for the week of July 06, 2026, and below each one I show my work: the momentum, the technicals, the sentiment, the fundamentals, and the macro I am leaning on. I do not ask you to take the picks on faith — I ask you to read the evidence and disagree if you can. The pillar weights and a few model internals stay redacted because they are the edge; everything that can be shown, is.

Macro environment

VIX
16.59
10Y−2Y
+0.35
HY OAS
2.75
Unemployment
4.2
SPY 20d
-0.93%

Here is how I read the backdrop: volatility is cheap at 16.6 — barely 1.05% a day — and cheap vol is exactly where I watch crowding hardest, the 10y−2y curve has steepened to +0.35, a quieter vote of confidence in duration, high-yield spreads at 2.75 are still contained, so credit is not yet contradicting the tape, and the S&P's trailing month is -0.9%, the trend I am actually trading against.

Volatility is the first thing I price, because it sets the size of every other bet. I scale gross exposure inversely to realised vol — target the risk, not the notional — so a calmer tape lets the book breathe and a violent one pulls it in automatically:

$$\sigma_{\text{daily}}\approx\dfrac{\mathrm{VIX}}{\sqrt{252}}\qquad w_{\text{gross}}\;\propto\;\dfrac{\sigma_{\text{target}}}{\sigma_{\text{daily}}}$$

Source: fred · as of 2026-07-05

How I make the call

I score every candidate from 0–100 on several independent pillars, then collapse them into one composite. The weighting is the part I keep back, but the structure is simple:

$$\text{Composite}(x) \;=\; \sum_i w_i \, S_i(x)$$

where \(S_i\) is a pillar score and \(w_i\) its weight. The exact pillar weights are mine to keep, so they are withheld; what I will tell you is that a neutral-pillar guard drops any pillar sitting at 50 (no signal) and renormalises the rest, so a silent factor never dilutes a loud one.

For the expected weekly return I do not trust a raw historical average at a given score — small samples lie. I shrink it toward a prior, blending the realised returns of past names that scored nearby with that prior in proportion to how much evidence I actually have:

$$\hat{r}(s) \;=\; \frac{n\,\bar r_{\text{near}} + k\,\pi(s)}{n + k}$$

Here \(k\) (the shrinkage strength) and the prior \(\pi\) take proprietary values , and they are exactly what I re-estimate as new weeks land — this is where the framework learns. The standard indicator formulas below I show in full, because none of that is the edge.

Indicator formula reference
RSI: $$\mathrm{RSI}_{14}=100-\frac{100}{1+RS},\quad RS=\frac{\overline{\text{gain}}_{14}}{\overline{\text{loss}}_{14}}$$
MACD: $$\mathrm{MACD}=\mathrm{EMA}_{12}-\mathrm{EMA}_{26},\quad \text{signal}=\mathrm{EMA}_9(\mathrm{MACD})$$
ATR: $$\mathrm{ATR}_{14}=\tfrac{1}{14}\sum TR,\quad TR=\max\big(H-L,\,|H-C_{-1}|,\,|L-C_{-1}|\big)$$
Bollinger: $$\mathrm{BB}=\mathrm{SMA}_{20}\pm 2\,\sigma_{20}$$
Cross-sectional z: $$z=\frac{x-\mu}{\sigma}$$

The picks

#1 DLTR DLTR Retail Composite 67.7 / 100
DLTR price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum43.8
Catalyst75.0
Sentiment83.9
Technical76.9
Fundamental51.2
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite67.7—
Universe percentile98

Technicals (2026-06-09)

RSI(14)59.5 ADX(14)30.6
MACD2.503 Signal1.078
MACD hist1.425 ATR(14)4.69
SMA 20101.82 SMA 50103.37
SMA 200110.21 Vol ratio0.79
Boll upper119.50 Boll lower84.15
CCI(20)72.5 MFI(14)59.6

Sentiment & news

Combined sentiment+0.49 Momentum (WoW)n/a
News (pos/neg)2/0 Social posts0

Fundamentals

P/E18.6 PEGn/a
P/B6.21 P/S1.23
ROE35.9 ROA9.5
Net marginn/a Rev growth51.3
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth-4.8
DLTR selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 67.7/100
#2 GEN GEN Technology Composite 72.4 / 100
GEN price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum45.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment57.9
Technical64.2
Fundamental75.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite72.4—
Universe percentile95

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E16.5 PEGn/a
P/B4.38 P/S3.21
ROE39.9 ROA6.1
Net marginn/a Rev growth27.1
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth53.5
GEN selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 72.4/100
#3 PPG PPG Chemicals Composite 67.4 / 100
PPG price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum45.5
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment58.5
Technical63.1
Fundamental53.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite67.4—
Universe percentile92

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E17.7 PEGn/a
P/B2.90 P/S1.76
ROE20.2 ROA7.2
Net marginn/a Rev growth-3.9
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth50.5
PPG selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 67.4/100
#4 MCO MCO Financial Services Composite 71.2 / 100
MCO price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum44.4
Catalyst68.2
Sentiment96.6
Technical71.9
Fundamental54.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite71.2—
Universe percentile88

Technicals (2026-06-16)

RSI(14)61.4 ADX(14)13.0
MACD1.042 Signal0.105
MACD hist0.937 ATR(14)11.30
SMA 20451.91 SMA 50446.98
SMA 200478.32 Vol ratio1.19
Boll upper463.55 Boll lower440.27
CCI(20)247.0 MFI(14)55.1

Sentiment & news

Combined sentiment+0.29 Momentum (WoW)n/a
News (pos/neg)1/0 Social posts0

Fundamentals

P/E34.8 PEGn/a
P/B22.48 P/S11.10
ROE66.7 ROA16.2
Net marginn/a Rev growth8.9
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth20.4
MCO selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 71.2/100
#5 INCY INCY Biotechnology Composite 71.1 / 100
INCY price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum44.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment70.5
Technical62.3
Fundamental55.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite71.1—
Universe percentile85

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E18.1 PEGn/a
P/B3.75 P/S4.54
ROE29.2 ROA21.6
Net marginn/a Rev growth21.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth2455.3
INCY selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 71.1/100
#6 PACS PACS Health Care Composite 65.7 / 100
PACS price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.7
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment51.1
Technical63.3
Fundamental54.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite65.7—
Universe percentile82

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E36.8 PEGn/a
P/B6.35 P/S1.33
ROE26.6 ROA4.4
Net marginn/a Rev growth140.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth1434.5
PACS selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 65.7/100
#7 OSCR OSCR Insurance Composite 68.8 / 100
OSCR price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment67.6
Technical62.7
Fundamental48.7
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite68.8—
Universe percentile78

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B3.89 P/S0.83
ROE-3.3 ROA-0.6
Net marginn/a Rev growth32.6
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
OSCR selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 68.8/100
#8 ILMN ILMN Life Sciences Tools & Services Composite 68.0 / 100
ILMN price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum48.8
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment56.6
Technical63.0
Fundamental58.4
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite68.0—
Universe percentile75

Technicals

No indicators on file yet.

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E33.6 PEGn/a
P/B7.55 P/S6.57
ROE34.0 ROA13.4
Net marginn/a Rev growth1.3
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
ILMN selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 68.0/100
#9 OSW OSW Diversified Consumer Services Composite 53.8 / 100
OSW price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum52.5
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment59.0
Technical72.7
Fundamental57.6
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite53.8—
Universe percentile72

Technicals (2026-06-17)

RSI(14)71.1 ADX(14)20.2
MACD0.574 Signal0.275
MACD hist0.299 ATR(14)0.68
SMA 2024.51 SMA 5024.31
SMA 20022.04 Vol ratio1.67
Boll upper26.39 Boll lower22.62
CCI(20)207.6 MFI(14)63.4

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/E40.7 PEGn/a
P/B3.90 P/S3.03
ROE14.1 ROA10.8
Net marginn/a Rev growth9.5
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growth18.7
OSW selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 53.8/100
#10 RLAY RLAY Biotechnology Composite 52.2 / 100
RLAY price (60d)

Decision & pillar scores

PillarScoreWeight
Momentum61.9
Catalyst50.0n/a
Sentiment50.0n/a
Technical78.4
Fundamental50.9
Smart Moneyn/a
ML Ensemble
Composite52.2—
Universe percentile68

Technicals (2026-06-18)

RSI(14)63.9 ADX(14)20.4
MACD0.494 Signal0.348
MACD hist0.146 ATR(14)0.97
SMA 2014.44 SMA 5014.17
SMA 2009.31 Vol ratio1.17
Boll upper15.92 Boll lower12.95
CCI(20)151.1 MFI(14)61.6

Sentiment & news

Fundamentals

P/En/a PEGn/a
P/B2.59 P/S264.71
ROE-43.9 ROA-40.1
Net marginn/a Rev growth39.0
Debt/Equityn/a EPS growthn/a
RLAY selected based on: • UPCOMING CATALYSTS: High probability events within 30 days • COMPOSITE SCORE: 52.2/100
A standing note on method. I run this book in paper-trading mode, so every fill you see is simulated rather than a realised, audited track record — I would rather state that plainly than flatter the numbers. Nothing here is investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation; it is my own research, published so it can be read and argued with in the open. The blacked-out passages mark the parts of the process I keep proprietary. And because the framework recalibrates every week, where my read was wrong I expect the priors — not my ego — to be the first to say so.