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Sect Capital — Research
Catalyst Watch · Dec 8, 2025

Weekend Catalyst Watch — Ten-Name Basket for Monday Open

Concentrated exposure to attention-heavy names with identifiable weekend news paths and measurable order-flow asymmetry. Selection blends sentiment (news tone + social velocity), kNN (state proximity), and RVOL anomalies versus 30-day baselines. Execution is rules-based with tight downside control.

Basket: 10 names · equal weight Stops: −8% (GTC) Optional OCO: +12% target Entry window: 09:30–09:40 ET Theme: AI + Consumer Flow + Crypto Beta

Basket & Theses

PLTR · Palantir
Sent +0.34 RVOL ~2.6× kNN: favorable

Ongoing gov/defense pipeline chatter + AI platform wins sustain weekend discourse. Watch enterprise dealflow mentions and blog chatter density.

AMD · Advanced Micro Devices
Sent +0.29 RVOL ~2.1× kNN: strong

MI300/AI accelerator narrative + peer read-throughs. Options skew leans call-heavy into event density; monitor cross-asset AI flows.

QCOM · Qualcomm
Sent +0.06 RVOL ~1.8× kNN: neutral+

PC-AI & edge inference mentions trending; handset cycle reads and Windows-on-ARM press may catalyze.

UBER · Uber Technologies
Sent +0.22 RVOL ~2.0× kNN: favorable

Profitability/margin discourse and mobility demand indicators; app-store rankings + weekend ride-share chatter support attention bid.

SHOP · Shopify
Sent +0.31 RVOL ~2.4× kNN: strong

Post-promo season GMV datapoints, partner updates, and checkout attach; watch weekend merchant posts & app-ecosystem signals.

COIN · Coinbase
Sent +0.04 RVOL ~2.9× kNN: mixed

Crypto-beta tailwinds over weekends; focus on on-chain activity, ETF headlines, and liquidity spikes into the open.

HOOD · Robinhood
Sent +0.12 RVOL ~2.2× kNN: neutral+

Retail-flow sensitivity; crypto volume linkage and feature rollouts keep attention elevated into Monday.

ABNB · Airbnb
Sent +0.09 RVOL ~1.9× kNN: neutral

Travel demand anecdotes, city policy headlines, and seasonal booking datapoints can spark open-hour range extension.

DBX · Dropbox
Sent +0.05 RVOL ~1.7× kNN: mixed

AI-adjacent product notes and enterprise seat growth commentary; small-mid cap attention can produce outsized gaps.

SPOT · Spotify
Sent +0.10 RVOL ~2.0× kNN: favorable

MAU/engagement narratives, catalog/creator news, and weekend cultural spikes feed open-hour momentum.

Aggregate Sentiment & Heat

Positive Neutral Negative
Net Crowd Tone +0.26

Premarket RVOL vs 30-day Baseline

Options Skew: Calls − Puts (∆% of 30-day avg)

kNN State Proximity (higher = more similar to historically favorable setups)

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